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A Growing Need for Pilots

Talks of the looming pilot crisis are not new, the industry is expected to reach a 4.1% growth by 2040, worth 20.9 billion dollars. Although experts have predicted the growth for some time, we are now beginning to slowly see how damaging it will be for the global aviation industry with a lack of qualified and experienced pilots.

6 May 2019 4 min read
<p>Talks of the looming pilot crisis are not new, the industry is expected to reach a 4.1% growth by 2040, worth 20.9 billion dollars. Although experts have predicted the growth for some time, we are now beginning to slowly see how damaging it will be for the global aviation industry with a lack of qualified and experienced pilots.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Despite the industry demand, passenger number increases may not be precisely reflected in fleet growth. Regardless, a drive to make more efficient use of a growing fleet will increase the number of crew needed; if aircraft spent more time in the air than the ground, pilots flight time limitations may become a pressing concern.</p>

<p>For the commercial air transport industry to work, it needs four elements;</p>

<p>•&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Infrastructure</p>

<p>•&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Aircraft</p>

<p>•&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Finance</p>

<p>•&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Skilled personnel</p>

<p>Three out of four of these elements are feasible right now, with manufacturers churning out the necessary aircraft. The investment is already there for both infrastructure and aircrafts, the missing piece to depict a perfect picture is skilled personnel. In our <a href="https://edition.pagesuite-professional.co.uk/html5/reader/production/default.aspx?pubname=&amp;edid=1e593144-8430-4799-97a8-5785caa6f1f3"><strong>Spring 2019 training and development report</strong></a> created for Flight International magazine, we take a more in-depth look at how this crisis will affect business, commercial growth and pilot training.</p>

<h2>Demands</h2>

<p>The airline pilot training industry worldwide faces a perfect storm of competing demands. The rapidly growing world fleet and massive order backlogs at aircraft manufacturers are driving an unprecedented global demand for fully trained crews.</p>

<p>The world’s largest flight crew instruction company, CAE, says that in 2018 there were 305,000 active airline pilots and 55,000 business aviation pilots, and by 2028, 110,000 and 40,000 of these will need replacing due to retirement.</p>

<p>CAE calculates that one-third of active pilots are aged over 50, which means that these pilots will be looking to retire in several years, and there's a minimal number of pilots skilled enough to replace them.</p>

<p>However, in addition to fleet growth, there will be the need for 160,000 more airline pilots and 10,000 extra business aviation pilots. By 2028, the numbers of active pilots needed, therefore, will be 465,000 airline pilots and 65,000 business pilots, adding up to a total of more than half a million active professional pilots.</p>

<p>In this<a href="https://edition.pagesuite-professional.co.uk/html5/reader/production/default.aspx?pubname=&amp;edid=1e593144-8430-4799-97a8-5785caa6f1f3"> <strong>training and development report</strong>,</a> Air Training Organisations (ATO) explains how they are under pressure or even under compulsion in the case of the European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) to implement new training paradigms.</p>

<p>These new ways of delivering training include competency-based training and assessment (CBTA) at the ab initio level and evidence-based training for airline recurrent training.</p>

<p>Aeroplane manufacturer, Boeing, has projected that aviation will need 790,000 new pilots by 2037 to meet growing demand, with 96,000 pilots required to support the business aviation sector.</p>

<p>On the other hand, Airbus estimated demand at 450,000 pilots by 2035. Even with Airbus’ more conservative number, the gap between demand and supply is vast.</p>

<p>However, manufacturers know that there is no point building aircrafts if there are insufficient pilots to crew them.</p>

<p><strong>The long and short is that the pilots need to get the right support to up skill and in the fastest and safest way possible, but there's just not enough resources and pilots.</strong></p>

<p>If you would like to read more about how the aviation industry is tackling the growing need for skilled personnel, <strong><a href="https://edition.pagesuite-professional.co.uk/html5/reader/production/default.aspx?pubname=&amp;edid=1e593144-8430-4799-97a8-5785caa6f1f3">download our training and development report today</a>.</strong></p>